Champion Scaling and Late Game Strength
Patch 26.18 Emerald+The strongest late game champions right now are Olaf, Galio, Twisted Fate. The strongest early game champions are Nidalee, Locke, Leona.
How each champion's win rate moves as the game gets longer. The scaling column is the slope of that line: how many percentage points the win rate gains every 10 minutes.
Hardest scaling
Win rate climbs the most as the game goes long.
points / 10 min
Strongest late game
Highest win rate in games that reach 35 minutes.
Strongest early game
Highest win rate in games that end before 25 minutes.
Locke 941 49.5% 56.9% 45.8%-11.12-3.94
Irelia 679 50.1% 54.8% 38.3%-16.45-3.75
Ezreal 1.006 44.1% 49.3% 35.0%-14.29-2.98
Sion 371 50.9% 55.9% 34.8%-21.07-2.94
Lux 662 48.9% 55.0% 40.2%-14.81-2.68
Lissandra 383 50.4% 54.1% 43.6%-10.48-2.30
Thresh 976 52.5% 55.3% 46.5%-8.76-2.25
Shen 464 47.8% 51.9% 39.5%-12.34-2.25
Jax 629 49.6% 54.1% 50.8%-3.30-2.24
Tryndamere 315 50.8% 55.5% 46.2%-9.30-2.13
LeBlanc 512 50.4% 56.9% 45.6%-11.27-2.11
Nidalee 446 57.8% 62.9% 50.0%-12.94-2.03
Karma 717 48.8% 54.3% 50.0%-4.29-1.95
Kai'Sa 1.471 49.4% 52.2% 45.9%-6.31-1.86
Leona 650 52.2% 59.4% 49.3%-10.16-1.80
Senna 478 52.7% 56.6% 46.6%-10.00-1.66
Hwei 508 47.2% 48.3% 48.1%-0.13-1.64
Qiyana 1.095 50.6% 53.0% 42.9%-10.12-1.60
Sylas 1.377 50.0% 51.5% 45.7%-5.86-1.51
Yone 1.422 50.0% 51.3% 51.4%+0.08-1.51
Taliyah 376 49.7% 53.3% 53.3%+0.05-1.50
Hecarim 536 50.4% 53.3% 49.0%-4.25-1.29
Shaco 455 46.6% 54.5% 42.9%-11.69-1.26
Yasuo 1.171 47.3% 48.3% 50.0%+1.70-1.26
Anivia 329 51.7% 53.5% 50.0%-3.47-1.23
Karthus 303 46.5% 52.9% 45.5%-7.40-1.19
Alistar 597 48.4% 50.0% 52.8%+2.83-1.11
Garen 532 54.7% 56.1% 46.8%-9.32-1.04
Vladimir 503 55.7% 60.2% 61.3%+1.05-1.00
Morgana 312 48.7% 53.2% 45.3%-7.96-0.96
Nasus 760 49.1% 50.9% 50.0%-0.93-0.90
Lee Sin 1.289 50.7% 52.1% 52.6%+0.54-0.88
Swain 371 50.7% 54.2% 48.1%-6.16-0.73
Zac 317 51.4% 53.6% 48.5%-5.12-0.67
Wukong 528 45.3% 46.0% 41.4%-4.53-0.63
Aatrox 555 50.3% 52.3% 52.5%+0.20-0.52
Caitlyn 1.020 51.3% 52.5% 49.6%-2.84-0.49
Malphite 600 51.3% 51.3% 42.7%-8.64-0.46
Akali 770 45.7% 44.3% 44.1%-0.21-0.43
Poppy 327 49.2% 51.3% 46.3%-4.96-0.40
Xayah 406 53.4% 51.7% 55.6%+3.86-0.40
Twisted Fate 589 50.6% 53.0% 53.6%+0.58-0.39
Lulu 1.241 51.4% 53.2% 54.8%+1.54-0.35
Janna 525 49.3% 47.0% 46.7%-0.33-0.34
Syndra 1.068 49.7% 50.0% 46.4%-3.59-0.34
Draven 356 49.4% 50.0% 53.6%+3.57-0.30
Zeri 581 52.0% 53.1% 51.9%-1.15-0.30
K'Sante 482 51.0% 53.2% 56.1%+2.96-0.28
Nocturne 373 49.6% 50.5% 48.0%-2.45-0.27
Darius 572 48.8% 50.0% 50.7%+0.68-0.27
Zyra 364 49.2% 50.6% 55.2%+4.61-0.26
Ambessa 738 49.3% 48.6% 40.8%-7.74-0.23
Teemo 345 51.3% 50.6% 50.0%-0.57-0.17
Olaf 534 50.0% 51.0% 46.8%-4.23-0.17
Blitzcrank 570 49.6% 49.7% 41.5%-8.22-0.16
Gangplank 527 52.0% 54.8% 57.6%+2.87-0.13
Sivir 343 51.3% 48.6% 48.8%+0.24-0.12
Pantheon 711 47.5% 47.2% 51.1%+3.90-0.12
Naafiri 412 47.3% 45.8% 38.1%-7.71-0.09
Bard 591 51.4% 49.7% 47.2%-2.58-0.06
Shyvana 385 50.6% 46.2% 41.2%-4.98-0.05
Soraka 403 54.6% 52.6% 45.1%-7.49-0.01
Cho'Gath 833 51.3% 50.9% 43.6%-7.31+0.03
Rakan 459 51.9% 50.3% 45.8%-4.51+0.05
Jhin 1.417 47.9% 46.8% 44.8%-2.00+0.06
Diana 432 48.6% 44.9% 47.6%+2.69+0.06
Gwen 393 45.8% 47.6% 50.0%+2.43+0.11
Zoe 418 54.3% 53.9% 66.0%+12.10+0.17
Jarvan IV 602 48.0% 47.8% 47.0%-0.88+0.19
Varus 390 51.3% 54.0% 51.2%-2.74+0.21
Viego 794 46.2% 46.6% 47.3%+0.67+0.25
Galio 494 52.4% 49.2% 45.5%-3.71+0.29
Zaahen 383 52.5% 53.7% 48.9%-4.83+0.31
Cassiopeia 347 49.0% 52.0% 50.0%-1.97+0.35
Renekton 456 50.4% 48.3% 52.2%+3.85+0.36
Gnar 330 46.4% 46.5% 47.2%+0.73+0.39
Vi 418 51.2% 48.0% 57.1%+9.11+0.43
Riven 316 53.5% 53.3% 52.5%-0.83+0.46
Vayne 361 49.6% 45.9% 37.1%-8.73+0.48
Gragas 390 50.3% 46.9% 52.9%+6.02+0.52
Rengar 338 50.3% 49.6% 57.5%+7.88+0.60
Talon 816 48.8% 48.3% 55.4%+7.13+0.61
Kayn 406 49.3% 45.8% 44.4%-1.35+0.67
Mordekaiser 323 50.5% 48.5% 53.7%+5.14+0.74
Tristana 1.071 50.3% 50.7% 52.0%+1.30+0.77
Kassadin 333 50.2% 48.4% 60.7%+12.29+0.77
Dr. Mundo 350 49.1% 46.5% 57.4%+10.96+0.89
Fizz 380 47.6% 43.4% 52.7%+9.33+1.03
Fiora 377 44.6% 42.1% 54.2%+12.06+1.03
Ashe 522 48.9% 47.2% 48.4%+1.27+1.06
Master Yi 449 49.7% 45.9% 55.6%+9.69+1.12
Zilean 324 51.5% 41.5% 51.2%+9.64+1.15
Pyke 601 46.8% 44.9% 49.3%+4.33+1.16
Camille 829 47.6% 45.3% 49.3%+4.03+1.19
Ekko 865 52.1% 51.5% 54.3%+2.77+1.26
Yunara 1.395 52.0% 51.0% 58.3%+7.24+1.41
Malzahar 360 48.6% 47.5% 50.8%+3.37+1.44
Braum 457 50.5% 46.3% 58.9%+12.59+1.45
Lucian 736 47.0% 44.5% 50.5%+6.06+1.60
Sett 342 46.2% 42.9% 53.3%+10.48+1.60
Graves 673 50.1% 47.6% 56.6%+8.94+1.61
Kalista 501 51.9% 49.0% 47.6%-1.41+1.61
Viktor 1.095 49.4% 47.4% 51.7%+4.23+1.62
Jinx 1.110 50.5% 50.0% 56.6%+6.56+1.65
Nautilus 1.069 48.8% 46.6% 49.4%+2.82+1.65
Singed 317 51.4% 47.5% 53.8%+6.32+1.71
Zed 939 52.7% 49.6% 59.6%+9.93+1.78
Orianna 368 49.7% 46.9% 51.2%+4.26+1.79
Xerath 541 52.5% 47.4% 52.1%+4.62+1.94
Miss Fortune 338 46.7% 41.1% 51.4%+10.38+1.98
Seraphine 768 51.8% 48.6% 57.1%+8.51+2.00
Jayce 968 48.8% 44.8% 47.7%+2.87+2.07
Rell 584 50.5% 47.9% 58.5%+10.59+2.16
Aphelios 371 51.2% 41.2% 62.5%+21.28+2.18
Ryze 495 47.5% 40.9% 46.3%+5.48+2.18
Katarina 655 50.7% 47.6% 57.7%+10.13+2.37
Kha'Zix 471 53.9% 48.9% 69.0%+20.03+2.51
Ornn 328 58.2% 49.0% 62.9%+13.90+2.56
Veigar 445 52.4% 44.6% 67.6%+22.96+2.71
Ahri 792 48.7% 45.2% 52.7%+7.52+2.78
Nami 750 47.9% 42.4% 55.7%+13.21+3.10
Milio 607 52.2% 45.6% 57.5%+11.94+3.45
Yuumi 407 51.8% 41.8% 61.0%+19.19+3.88
Twitch 388 49.0% 38.7% 65.1%+26.37+4.07How this is measured
A weighted line is fitted to each champion's win rate minute by minute, and the slope is shown as points per 10 minutes. The baseline is exactly 50% at every minute, because every game writes five winners and five losers into the same duration bucket. Early means games that ended before minute 25, late means games that reached minute 35.
The shrinkage is measured, not chosen. Across the champions listed here the observed spread of slopes is 4.41 points and pure measurement noise accounts for 3.56, which leaves a real spread of 2.60 points. Each champion's slope is pulled towards zero in proportion to its own sample, so a thin sample cannot reach the top of the list.
124 champions were tested and 3 of them clear three standard errors. Values that do not clear it are printed faded: with this many champions, a two sigma rule would produce about eight false positives by chance alone.
Game length is an outcome, not a setting. A champion that wins early ends those games early, so most of its long games are games it was already losing. This curve therefore measures closing ability as well as raw strength: the late column answers "what happens if I reach minute 35 on this champion", not "how strong is this champion at minute 35".
Level 1 and laning strength are not measured here. The early column is about whole games that ended quickly, not about the first minutes; for lane by lane numbers see the counters page of each champion.