Champion Scaling and Late Game Strength
Patch 26.17 Emerald+The strongest late game champions right now are Olaf, Galio, Twisted Fate. The strongest early game champions are Talon, Katarina, Irelia.
How each champion's win rate moves as the game gets longer. The scaling column is the slope of that line: how many percentage points the win rate gains every 10 minutes.
Hardest scaling
Win rate climbs the most as the game goes long.
No champion clears the significance threshold in this bracket.
Strongest late game
Highest win rate in games that reach 35 minutes.
Strongest early game
Highest win rate in games that end before 25 minutes.
Jhin 1.138 44.9% 40.8% 50.3%+9.47+2.76
Sivir 300 52.7% 46.8% 66.0%+19.17+2.34
Caitlyn 978 49.6% 46.9% 51.0%+4.08+2.03
Cassiopeia 315 49.2% 46.0% 57.1%+11.18+1.73
Rell 391 51.2% 44.0% 52.3%+8.24+1.70
Zed 804 49.6% 48.4% 54.9%+6.46+1.68
Jinx 1.099 52.0% 51.7% 63.8%+12.11+1.66
Briar 338 50.0% 40.0% 58.2%+18.18+1.60
Ambessa 512 47.1% 43.3% 58.3%+15.00+1.56
Viego 651 45.6% 38.0% 48.9%+10.87+1.49
Nautilus 931 49.9% 43.8% 50.9%+7.16+1.41
Ahri 699 52.2% 48.7% 50.5%+1.75+1.38
Gangplank 374 47.3% 44.9% 54.2%+9.22+1.29
Vladimir 510 47.3% 42.9% 54.4%+11.53+1.25
Thresh 997 55.2% 54.4% 56.8%+2.43+1.24
Senna 440 50.0% 48.5% 57.3%+8.87+1.24
Lulu 892 49.1% 45.4% 53.2%+7.85+1.15
Ezreal 928 46.6% 43.3% 47.1%+3.80+1.12
Galio 409 52.8% 51.4% 62.2%+10.87+1.02
Fizz 402 51.0% 45.0% 63.2%+18.11+1.01
Nasus 720 52.9% 47.4% 58.4%+11.05+1.01
Milio 464 47.4% 46.5% 47.4%+0.84+1.00
Malzahar 345 51.3% 45.8% 57.7%+11.91+1.00
Gwen 384 51.0% 50.9% 55.3%+4.46+0.99
Cho'Gath 542 45.4% 39.7% 46.1%+6.37+0.95
Vayne 379 44.6% 38.3% 46.9%+8.68+0.93
Swain 360 45.0% 45.0% 59.0%+13.94+0.89
Blitzcrank 469 49.5% 45.4% 50.8%+5.43+0.89
Gragas 308 49.7% 49.0% 53.7%+4.70+0.88
Lucian 563 47.6% 46.1% 50.0%+3.89+0.88
Pantheon 652 51.5% 46.0% 54.2%+8.22+0.85
Rengar 331 51.4% 49.5% 48.8%-0.68+0.82
Renekton 414 49.0% 47.8% 50.9%+3.09+0.81
Ekko 507 52.9% 51.0% 52.2%+1.26+0.78
Kayn 452 52.2% 53.6% 62.0%+8.45+0.77
Yuumi 347 49.9% 48.8% 60.0%+11.20+0.74
Alistar 414 49.5% 51.7% 63.2%+11.48+0.73
Zeri 408 52.5% 50.0% 46.5%-3.49+0.70
Anivia 320 48.8% 41.5% 43.2%+1.73+0.69
Nocturne 359 47.4% 51.1% 60.3%+9.21+0.69
Karma 587 46.2% 45.4% 49.4%+4.00+0.67
Braum 398 48.0% 45.4% 42.6%-2.79+0.53
Master Yi 391 48.1% 50.0% 55.9%+5.93+0.51
Nami 642 49.4% 48.0% 50.4%+2.43+0.47
Varus 305 49.2% 44.8% 45.7%+0.92+0.43
Xayah 321 47.7% 45.3% 55.6%+10.29+0.42
Yunara 874 51.6% 49.7% 53.9%+4.23+0.31
Lissandra 351 50.7% 46.2% 58.1%+11.99+0.30
Vi 399 50.1% 47.5% 41.1%-6.39+0.27
Dr. Mundo 326 48.2% 48.1% 43.2%-4.87+0.17
Jarvan IV 477 46.3% 47.3% 47.9%+0.64+0.16
Diana 341 44.9% 49.5% 42.9%-6.67+0.13
Graves 650 50.5% 47.1% 45.2%-1.85+0.11
Shaco 381 48.8% 49.5% 52.8%+3.28+0.09
Garen 500 52.0% 54.0% 54.4%+0.47+0.06
Ryze 420 45.7% 44.8% 51.0%+6.22+0.04
Aphelios 330 46.1% 46.7% 45.5%-1.27+0.02
Wukong 506 53.0% 57.1% 59.3%+2.12-0.02
Jax 634 47.2% 49.1% 50.5%+1.47-0.09
Kha'Zix 422 50.9% 50.0% 46.4%-3.57-0.13
Jayce 663 47.8% 48.8% 48.1%-0.76-0.18
Twitch 402 47.3% 46.4% 47.3%+0.93-0.25
Leona 577 53.6% 52.5% 50.6%-1.93-0.25
Fiora 317 49.5% 54.5% 54.5%0.00-0.29
Malphite 532 50.9% 47.0% 45.5%-1.57-0.34
Syndra 929 50.6% 50.0% 46.5%-3.54-0.34
LeBlanc 461 48.4% 47.6% 49.2%+1.68-0.37
K'Sante 353 40.5% 43.0% 44.7%+1.76-0.40
Draven 316 54.1% 58.3% 52.4%-5.88-0.45
Hecarim 439 49.7% 48.8% 45.5%-3.33-0.47
Soraka 348 51.1% 54.4% 47.1%-7.39-0.49
Locke 615 49.1% 51.8% 53.9%+2.17-0.60
Hwei 445 55.7% 56.3% 53.8%-2.55-0.65
Bard 534 49.4% 50.8% 51.6%+0.78-0.67
Naafiri 409 51.6% 53.5% 47.8%-5.65-0.67
Twisted Fate 394 54.3% 54.3% 45.2%-9.09-0.74
Ashe 497 51.1% 47.6% 43.8%-3.72-0.76
Teemo 364 52.2% 53.1% 46.6%-6.51-0.77
Zyra 336 51.2% 56.0% 48.6%-7.39-0.79
Akali 634 50.5% 52.6% 48.3%-4.33-0.81
Zoe 348 53.2% 60.5% 61.5%+1.03-0.81
Aatrox 497 50.5% 51.7% 39.1%-12.64-0.81
Tristana 859 51.7% 53.0% 46.9%-6.17-0.86
Shen 414 54.8% 58.2% 50.8%-7.34-0.88
Viktor 964 50.2% 52.5% 46.2%-6.29-0.92
Janna 344 51.2% 55.4% 55.6%+0.20-0.94
Veigar 436 49.1% 49.5% 40.0%-9.55-0.95
Shyvana 413 52.8% 54.1% 40.7%-13.36-1.04
Olaf 497 53.5% 55.2% 47.6%-7.60-1.05
Yone 1.093 50.3% 51.9% 50.4%-1.52-1.14
Lee Sin 975 49.2% 53.0% 45.8%-7.22-1.14
Yasuo 1.005 50.0% 51.4% 42.9%-8.52-1.15
Xerath 532 49.2% 53.2% 48.1%-5.10-1.16
Miss Fortune 353 51.0% 59.3% 49.2%-10.19-1.22
Sett 413 50.4% 53.8% 45.3%-8.50-1.23
Pyke 477 50.5% 53.7% 50.9%-2.80-1.26
Darius 567 48.3% 51.0% 45.0%-5.97-1.27
Katarina 564 52.5% 58.5% 47.4%-11.14-1.57
Mordekaiser 347 48.7% 53.8% 47.5%-6.22-1.59
Kai'Sa 1.375 49.2% 49.6% 42.5%-7.14-1.74
Qiyana 804 52.5% 54.9% 40.2%-14.68-1.77
Sylas 1.238 48.5% 49.2% 44.2%-4.95-1.79
Kalista 341 51.6% 58.6% 52.0%-6.55-1.93
Camille 693 49.4% 54.3% 44.9%-9.45-1.96
Lux 693 48.8% 57.4% 44.1%-13.27-2.00
Nidalee 357 51.0% 57.2% 41.2%-16.06-2.58
Talon 661 51.6% 58.4% 46.5%-11.92-2.62
Seraphine 767 50.6% 55.1% 37.3%-17.81-2.64
Irelia 516 45.0% 59.6% 36.4%-23.25-3.44How this is measured
A weighted line is fitted to each champion's win rate minute by minute, and the slope is shown as points per 10 minutes. The baseline is exactly 50% at every minute, because every game writes five winners and five losers into the same duration bucket. Early means games that ended before minute 25, late means games that reached minute 35.
The shrinkage is measured, not chosen. Across the champions listed here the observed spread of slopes is 4.23 points and pure measurement noise accounts for 3.62, which leaves a real spread of 2.19 points. Each champion's slope is pulled towards zero in proportion to its own sample, so a thin sample cannot reach the top of the list.
109 champions were tested and 1 of them clear three standard errors. Values that do not clear it are printed faded: with this many champions, a two sigma rule would produce about eight false positives by chance alone.
Game length is an outcome, not a setting. A champion that wins early ends those games early, so most of its long games are games it was already losing. This curve therefore measures closing ability as well as raw strength: the late column answers "what happens if I reach minute 35 on this champion", not "how strong is this champion at minute 35".
Level 1 and laning strength are not measured here. The early column is about whole games that ended quickly, not about the first minutes; for lane by lane numbers see the counters page of each champion.